M5 Conference Agenda

9:30am – 10:00am Welcome / Opening Remarks

  • Prof. Maria Michailidis, Director of the Makridakis Open Forecasting Center (MOFC), University of Nicosia  
  • Mr. Antonis Polemitis, CEO of the University of Nicosia
  • Prof. Anil Gaba, The ORPAR chaired Professor of Risk Management Academic Director, Centre for Decision Making and Risk Analysis, INSEAD
  • Prof. Spyros Makridakis, Founder of the Makridakis Open Forecasting Center, MOFC & Director of the Institute For the Future,
    University of Nicosia
10:00am – 10:30am Keynote Address
Forecasting and the Covid-19 pandemic

  • Nassim Nicholas Taleb, New York University
10:30am – 11:00am The Role of Judgment in Forecasting

  • Dan Goldstein, Microsoft
11:00am – 11:10am Break
11:10am – 11:40am A Collaborative and Market-based View of the Future of Forecasting

  • Pierre Pinson, Technical University of Denmark & Editor-in Chief IJF
11:40am – 12:10pm My New Forecasting Projects at Facebook 

  • Slawek Smyl, Facebook
12:10pm – 1:00pm Break
1:00pm – 1:50pm Assesment of Uncertainly for Decision-Making

  • Anil Gaba, INSEAD | Robert L. Winkler, Duke University
1:50pm – 2:20pm The Most Precise Uncertainly M5 Methods. Summary of Findings

  • Evangelos Spiliotis, National Technical University of Athens (NTUA)
2:20pm – 2:40pm The Role of Uncertainty in Supply Chain: Lessons from the M5 Competition

  • Joannes Vermorel, Lokad
2:40pm – 2:50pm Break
2:50pm – 3:20pm An Engineering Solution to the Problem of Defining Time-Series Anomaly

  • Peter Cotton, Intech Investments
3:20pm – 3:50pm Judgmental Forecasts and Judgmental Adjustments to Statistical/ML Forecasts

  • Paul Goodwin, University of Bath
3:50pm – 4:30pm Panel Discussion: Expanding the Use of Systematic Forecasting in Organizations and Improving its Value: The UFO Challenge

  • Fotios Petropoulos, University of Bath
  • Ellen Bonnell, TrendSavants
  • Yael Grushka-Cockayne, University of Virginia
  • Jim Hoover, University of Florida

9:00am – 9:10am Opening Remarks

  • Prof. Maria Michailidis, Director of the Makridakis Open Forecasting Center (MOFC),University of Nicosia
9:10am – 9:40am Will Artificial Intelligence Take Your Job?

  • Addison Howard, Google Cloud AI
9:40am – 10:10am Keynote Address
The Changing Role of Forecasting in the Age of Cloud Computing

  • Chris Fry, Google
10:10am – 10:20am Break
10:20am – 11:20am The Most Accurate M5 Accuracy Methods
Summary of findings:

  • Enno Siemsen, University of Wisconsin-Madison
  • YeonJun In, Kyung Hee University South Korea (KHU), Winner of the Accuracy challenge, M5 Competition 
  • Sihyeon Seong & Yunho Jeon, MOFL Inc., South Korea, Third winner of the Accuracy challenge, M5 Competition 
11:20am – 11:40am The Value and Applicability of the M5 Competition

  • Jonathon Karelse, NorthFind Management
11:40am – 12:10pm Applicability of the M5 to Forecasting at Walmart

  • John Bowman, Walmart
12:10am – 12:40pm Forecasts that Users Trust: Lessons Learned from a Large Scale Demand Forecasting Project

  • Mahdi Yousefi, Target
12:40pm – 1:00pm Break
1:00pm – 1:30pm Deep Probabilistic Forecasting

  • Tim Januschowski, Amazon AI Labs
1:30pm – 2:00pm M5 Competition: How Organizations can Benefit from its Findings

  • Mike Gilliland, SAS
2:00pm – 2:30pm The Past and Future of Forecasting Competitions and the Forthcoming M6 Competition

  • Prof. Spyros Makridakis, Founder of the Makridakis Open Forecasting Center, MOFC & Director of the Institute For the Future,
    University of Nicosia

M5 CONFERENCE ORGANIZERS