M5 Conference Agenda

8:30am – 9:30am Breakfast
9:30am – 10:00am Welcome / Opening Remarks

  • Prof. Maria Michailidis, Director of the Makridakis Open Forecasting Center (MOFC), University of Nicosia  
  • Mr. Antonis Polemitis, CEO of the University of Nicosia
  • Prof. Ani Gaba, The ORPAR chaired Professor of Risk Management Academic Director, Centre for Decision Making and Risk Analysis, INSEAD
  • Prof. Spyros Makridakis, Founder of the Makridakis Open Forecasting Center, MOFC & Director of the Institute For the Future,
    University of Nicosia
10:00am – 10:30am Keynote Address
Forecasting and the Covid-19 pandemic

  • Nassim Nicholas Taleb, New York University
10:30am – 11:00am The Role of Judgment in Forecasting

  • Dan Goldstein, Microsoft
11:00am – 11:30am Coffee Break and Networking
11:30am – 12:00pm A Collaborative and Market-based View of the Future of Forecasting

  • Pierre Pinson, Technical University of Denmark & Editor-in Chief IJF
12:00pm – 12:30pm My New Forecasting Projects at Facebook

  • Slawek Smyl, Facebook
12:30pm – 2:00pm Buffet Lunch and Networking
2:00pm – 3:40pm The Uncertainty Challenge
Chairperson Anil Gaba, INSEAD

2:00pm – 2:50pm
Assessment of Uncertainty for Decision-Making

  • Anil Gaba, INSEAD
  • Robert Winkler, Duke University

2:50pm – 3:40pm
The Most Precise Uncertainty M5 Methods

Summary of findings

  • Evangelos Spiliotis, National Technical University of Athens (NTUA)

The Role of Uncertainty in Supply Chain: Lessons from the M5 Competition

  • Joannes Vermorel, Lokad
3:40pm – 4:00pm Coffee Break and Networking
4:00pm – 5:45pm Theory and Practice of Forecasting: Future Challenges
Chairperson Antonis Polemitis, University of Nicosia

4:00pm – 4:30pm
The Machine Learning (ML) is Better – When?

  • Keith Ord, Georgetown University 

4:30pm – 5:00pm
Judgmental Forecasts and Judgmental Adjustments to Statistical/ML Forecasts

  • Paul Goodwin, Lancaster University

5:00pm – 5:45pm
Panel Discussion: Expanding the Use of Systematic Forecasting in Organizations and Improving its Value: The UFO Challenge

  • George Athanasopoulos, Monash University and President of IIF          
  • Ellen Bonnell, Candella Corp.
  • Yael Grushka-Cockayne, University of Virginia
  • Jim Hoover, University of Florida
5:45pm – 6:50pm Free time
7:00pm – 9:00pm Gala Dinner & Award of the M5 Competition Prizes

8:00am – 9:00am Breakfast
9:00am – 9:10am Opening Remarks

  • Prof. Maria Michailidis, Director of the Makridakis Open Forecasting Center (MOFC),University of Nicosia
9:10am – 9:40am Will Artificial Intelligence Take Your Job?

  • Addison Howard, Kaggle
9:40am – 10:10am Keynote Address
The Changing Role of Forecasting in the Age of Cloud Computing

  • Chris Fry, Google
10:10am – 10:40am Coffee Break and Networking
10:40am – 11:30am The Most Accurate M5 Accuracy Methods
Summary of findings:

  • Fotios Petropoulos, University of Bath
  • YeonJun In, Kyung Hee University South Korea (KHU), Winner of the Accuracy challenge, M5 Competition 
  • Sihyeon Seong & Yunho Jeon, MOFL Inc., South Korea, Third winner of the Accuracy challenge, M5 Competition 
11:30am – 3:00pm The Value and Applicability of the M5 Competition
Chairperson Jonathon Karelse, NorthFind Management

11:30am – 12:00pm
Applicability of the M5 to Forecasting at Walmart

  • Brian Seaman, Walmart

12:00pm – 12:30pm
Forecasts that Users Trust: Lessons Learned from a Large Scale Demand Forecasting Project

  • Mahdi Yousefi, Target
12:30pm – 2:00pm Buffet Lunch and Networking
2:00pm – 2:30pm Deep Probabilistic Forecasting

  • Tim Januschowski, Amazon
2:30pm – 3:00pm M5 Competition: How Organizations can Benefit from its Findings

  • Mike Gilliland, SAS
3:00pm – 3:30pm The Past and Future of Forecasting Competitions and the Forthcoming M6 Competition

  • Prof. Spyros Makridakis, Founder of the Makridakis Open Forecasting Center, MOFC & Director of the Institute For the Future,
    University of Nicosia

M5 CONFERENCE ORGANIZERS